Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.233192 0.250715 0.269255 0.290392 0.313892 0.339298 0.368948
2025-12-14 0.201439 0.226290 0.254253 0.288303 0.328990 0.376491 0.436804
2025-12-21 0.179111 0.207145 0.240024 0.281930 0.334660 0.399834 0.488157
2025-12-28 0.168718 0.199898 0.237761 0.287954 0.354052 0.440091 0.564035
2026-01-04 0.159504 0.192750 0.234296 0.291222 0.369180 0.475391 0.637135
2026-01-11 0.150756 0.185199 0.229291 0.291434 0.379483 0.504408 0.704562
2026-01-18 0.141319 0.175919 0.221083 0.286228 0.381191 0.520650 0.754206
2026-01-25 0.132174 0.166347 0.211683 0.278363 0.377947 0.528630 0.791079
2026-02-01 0.125078 0.159053 0.204827 0.273422 0.378303 0.541746 0.837874
2026-02-08 0.118374 0.151887 0.197649 0.267364 0.376212 0.550412 0.877703
2026-02-15 0.112908 0.146126 0.192076 0.263206 0.376566 0.562850 0.925962
2026-02-22 0.110041 0.143839 0.191298 0.266148 0.388374 0.595706 1.018503
2026-03-01 0.105950 0.139719 0.187776 0.264855 0.393538 0.618327 1.096704
2026-03-08 0.102165 0.135878 0.184480 0.263726 0.398944 0.642199 1.182988
2026-03-15 0.097539 0.130582 0.178701 0.258175 0.396146 0.650275 1.235789
2026-03-22 0.096003 0.129749 0.179610 0.263517 0.412932 0.697992 1.391595
2026-03-29 0.093982 0.128076 0.179102 0.266409 0.425476 0.738881 1.541591
2026-04-05 0.091477 0.125549 0.177105 0.266596 0.432932 0.770147 1.675044
2026-04-12 0.088077 0.121513 0.172515 0.261991 0.430795 0.780471 1.753146
2026-04-19 0.084378 0.116880 0.166770 0.255027 0.423496 0.778511 1.795156
2026-04-26 0.081438 0.113324 0.162616 0.250648 0.420959 0.787043 1.871792
2026-05-03 0.078458 0.109604 0.158048 0.245272 0.416001 0.789402 1.929930
2026-05-10 0.075978 0.106588 0.154515 0.241580 0.414186 0.799002 2.015186